Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 4.212400 5.010145 5.896963 6.952914 8.172861 9.534764 11.166889
2025-09-28 3.035311 4.052614 5.299163 6.926719 8.981915 11.475937 14.714814
2025-10-05 2.491984 3.655759 5.197871 7.362746 10.290269 14.073942 19.289312
2025-10-12 2.053959 3.272255 4.999792 7.579310 11.273260 16.301726 23.576499
2025-10-19 1.762154 3.019544 4.911323 7.890234 12.368734 18.735977 28.324185
2025-10-26 1.469635 2.699666 4.656867 7.895389 12.987191 20.518505 32.276721
2025-11-02 1.187756 2.337039 4.268763 7.621901 13.124160 21.572354 35.215420
2025-11-09 0.968138 2.035450 3.925846 7.358974 13.221771 22.539641 38.060333
2025-11-16 0.832841 1.859816 3.766706 7.372184 13.749843 24.196476 42.071100
2025-11-23 0.721672 1.708199 3.624719 7.389484 14.272601 25.868420 46.208466
2025-11-30 0.619093 1.553148 3.450842 7.320865 14.627230 27.274004 49.991772
2025-12-07 0.506754 1.353288 3.157181 6.984028 14.455195 27.755332 52.239470
2025-12-14 0.437783 1.239468 3.025023 6.952722 14.858210 29.292648 56.455634
2025-12-21 0.378411 1.135819 2.898307 6.915584 15.244879 30.830020 60.784516
2025-12-28 0.360042 1.131897 2.990967 7.347519 16.590108 34.212905 68.635909
2026-01-04 0.329004 1.087697 2.984271 7.562615 17.515889 36.875505 75.340441
2026-01-11 0.306747 1.062870 3.019245 7.872600 18.661726 40.030204 83.145318
2026-01-18 0.270851 0.990278 2.925899 7.877643 19.163608 41.970557 88.779831
2026-01-25 0.227102 0.882575 2.725495 7.604671 19.037003 42.657623 92.052027
2026-02-01 0.190504 0.787276 2.540478 7.342262 18.902536 43.309210 95.281571
2026-02-08 0.169228 0.737410 2.470455 7.355443 19.387449 45.253460 101.171842
2026-02-15 0.150680 0.692053 2.405477 7.372708 19.881287 47.245429 107.268606
2026-02-22 0.131882 0.640263 2.312643 7.304227 20.164432 48.806124 112.571428